Putting the poorly documented 1998 GLOF disaster in Shakhimardan River valley (Alay Range, Kyrgyzstan/Uzbekistan) into perspective

Dmitry A. Petrakov, Sergey S. Chernomorets, Karina S. Viskhadzhieva, Mikhail D. Dokukin, Elena A. Savernyuk, Maxim A. Petrov, Sergey A. Erokhin, Olga V. Tutubalina, Gleb E. Glazyrin, Alyona M. Shpuntova, Markus Stoffel

Published in: 2020

Publisher: Science of The Total Environment

Region / Country: Kyrgyzstan / Uzbekistan

Topics: The 1998 Shakhimardan GLOF, disaster risk management, monitoring glacier lakes
Abstract:

On July 8, 1998, a catastrophic glacier lake outburst flood (GLOF) occurred in the Shakhimardan catchment, Kyrgyzstan, causing over 100 fatalities, mostly in Uzbekistan. Political tensions delayed disaster assessment. Using remote sensing, researchers found that the lake responsible for the flood formed in the 1960s, drained periodically, and disappeared in the 1980s. By 1998, a new lake had formed, driven by rising temperatures and snowmelt. The GLOF traveled 17 km as a debris flow and 20 km as a debris flood, eventually continuing downstream for ~100 km. Currently, 32 lakes in the catchment, some unstable, highlight the urgent need for monitoring, early warning systems, and improved data exchange between Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan.

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