Glacial Lakes of the Ile (Zailiyskiy) Alatau: Status, Current Changes, Probable Risks

Kapitsa V., Shakhgedanova M., Usmanova Z., Severskiy I., Bloveshchenskiy V., Kasatkin N., Mishenin V., Rebrov Y., Golenko A.

Published in: 2018

Publisher: Debris Flows: Disasters, Risk, Forecast, Protection. Proceedings of the 5th International Conference. Mudflow Association; C. Mirtskhulav Water Management Institute, Georgian Technical University. 2018. Publisher: Universal.

Region / Country: Kazakhstan

Topics: GLOFs
Abstract:

The article, based on the catalog of glacial lakes, compiled from satellite images and data of specialized field studies for 2009-2017, presents the results of an assessment of the potential danger of breakthrough glacial lakes as a source of destructive glacial mudflows in the Ile (Zailiisky Alatau). The climatic changes on 6 meteorological stations located at the altitudes from 1100 to 3450 m above sea level are considered. According to the methodology of Kazselezaschita and known criteria of mudflow hazard assessment [Huggel et al. 2002] 17 most dangerous lakes were identified with definition of probable costs in case of their breakthrough.

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